GoodBai1122
0xb323fba1c1c8fb4e4246da47ce06a0a09a06c0e4
- Realised P&L
- $0.67
- Volume
- $37.62
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $15.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.963 | 0.958 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors? · Yes | 0.957 | 0.956 | $3.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.939 | 0.872 | $1.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.645 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.205 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.890 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.715 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Western Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.800 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Sneyking join a China-based team in 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.220 | $0.28 | −$0.72 |
| US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina · Qinwen Zheng | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.52at 0.665Puerto Rico vs. China
- +$0.10at 0.912Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?
- +$0.05at 0.957Spain vs. USA
- +$0.03at 0.994Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 16:32 | Will Sneyking join a China-based team in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 04:35 | Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 04:33 | Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.9279999777 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 04:33 | Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Western Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 04:32 | Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.9049999638 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 04:30 | Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors? | BUY | 0.9599996928 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 04:30 | Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 04:30 | Will DeMar DeRozan play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.3379999865 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 04:29 | Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 04:28 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 19:38 | Spain vs. USA | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 17:13 | Puerto Rico vs. China | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 17:11 | US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 14:51 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9629999992 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 14:48 | Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.988999999 | $5.00 |