0xb31655d0c9eaff43157da7842c7a2c3cb8998d4a
0xb31655d0c9eaff43157da7842c7a2c3cb8998d4a
- Realised P&L
- $1.87
- Volume
- $261.48
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $3.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.765 | $1.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.170 | $0.74 | −$0.26 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.505 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.235 | $0.57 | −$0.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.18at 0.247Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?
- +$4.01at 0.369Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.75at 0.460SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 23:32 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:05 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:45 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:38 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:28 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:59 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:59 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:59 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:50 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:17 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 02:12 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 17:53 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 09:26 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 01:19 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:25 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |