0xb3083cFd8812eE6Da06630EFdA00557c2222b117-1780321196230
0xb3083cfd8812ee6da06630efda00557c2222b117
- Realised P&L
- $35.17
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $101.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.00at 0.400US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
- +$7.74at 0.750Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
- +$6.35at 0.636Will Trump say "Fraud" or "Fraudulent" during Speech to the Nation?
- +$5.03at 0.622Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
- +$4.00at 0.550US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 10:26 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.758 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 21:57 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 19:26 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $24.99 |
| 09-22 17:39 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.766 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 16:06 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $6.87 |
| 09-21 19:46 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.86 |
| 09-20 18:07 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $24.99 |
| 09-20 17:18 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.96 | $6.66 |
| 09-20 16:05 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.971 | $7.03 |
| 09-19 07:29 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 21:31 | Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer | SELL | 0.99 | $8.11 |
| 09-16 15:48 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.92 |
| 09-16 14:45 | Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.6 | $4.91 |
| 09-16 12:10 | Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.6883977901 | $4.98 |
| 09-15 23:02 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $5.00 |