PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0d5Ed30C586BB273fc8090610C9fb61C802F0234-1766469127506

0xb2f51ca34e346397bacefeee952d1c35fa4bc37c

Realised P&L
$-407.26
Volume
$29.1k
Markets traded
607
Open portfolio
$876.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded607
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$125.20−$1.78
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$125.14−$1.84
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.980$124.50−$2.48
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.967$122.85−$4.13
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.966$122.72−$4.26
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.955$121.32−$5.66
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.977$59.00−$1.33
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.9970.194$23.47−$97.19
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No0.9991.000$17.87+$0.01
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No0.9960.986$17.68−$0.18
Will Lakhwinder Jhaj win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? · No0.9930.972$16.96−$0.38
Will Japan GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.1% and 0.3%? · No0.9990.000$0.00−$23.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET · Down0.9830.000$0.00−$194.74
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor? · No0.9990.000$0.00−$63.83
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET · Down0.8140.000$0.00−$61.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 08:56Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3AM ETBUY0.9989999898$17.80
10-31 15:56Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.998$17.80
10-31 08:59Solana Up or Down - October 31, 4AM ETBUY0.999$17.78
10-31 08:58Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4AM ETBUY0.99$17.78
10-30 23:56Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 30, 2026?BUY0.998$17.78
10-30 19:56Will Apple (AAPL) close above $360 end of October?BUY0.9945702132$17.77
10-30 10:56Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ETBUY0.999$19.82
10-30 06:00Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.3%?BUY0.997$3.39
10-30 01:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9PM ETBUY0.999$17.77
10-30 00:00Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?BUY0.999$17.77
10-29 21:56Will Intel (INTC) Q3 Data Center & AI revenue be above $7B?BUY0.999$17.77
10-27 09:59Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ETBUY0.999$17.75
10-26 23:59Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?BUY0.998$17.86
10-26 23:58Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 26, 2026?BUY0.999$17.86
10-26 02:56Will Trump endorse Lula da Silva for President of Brazil?BUY0.999$17.86