bluetens27
0xb2c5788e296a76cdbacd7ab737390939021b6593
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $90.7k
- Markets traded
- 599
- Open portfolio
- $248.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded599
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$303.89at 0.007Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?
- +$252.83at 0.020Trump approval Up or Down this week?
- +$133.55at 0.027Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 5, 2026?
- +$112.03at 0.075Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?
- +$108.47at 0.053Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 22:00 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 18:27 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.40 |
| 08-01 18:22 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.75 |
| 07-18 06:40 | Will Tom Pidcock win the 2026 Tour De France? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.39 |
| 07-15 13:33 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 13:31 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 13:31 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1770491364 | $3.00 |
| 07-15 06:04 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 07-14 20:42 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.96 |
| 07-14 16:24 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 07-14 11:06 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.174 | $6.96 |
| 07-12 16:49 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 07-12 16:47 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 07-11 06:12 | Trump approval Up or Down this week? | SELL | 0.321 | $4.82 |
| 07-10 21:20 | Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on July 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.17 |