PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb299d6bd3f4dba15fc9eca109bacb740b1ab5bbc

0xb299d6bd3f4dba15fc9eca109bacb740b1ab5bbc

Realised P&L
$-4.10
Volume
$348.36
Markets traded
173
Open portfolio
$2.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded173
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.6900.865$1.25+$0.25
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.6200.455$0.73−$0.27
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.4200.225$0.54−$0.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 21:12Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-10 11:27Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-09 03:23S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-08 19:19Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-08 10:03Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-08 01:51Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-07 14:51Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-07 14:16SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-06 15:57Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-06 11:46Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-06 07:54Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-05 13:15Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5BUY0.64$1.00
10-04 20:06Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-04 17:30Will El Salvador win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-04 15:37Costa Rica vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5BUY0.6699999196$1.00