PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LFC8

0xb295b1b699304badefd8559a7573151e5c804ee4

Realised P&L
$9.6k
Volume
$2.54M
Markets traded
584
Open portfolio
$9.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded584
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9930.997$6.5k+$22.65
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9000.935$1.9k+$70.00
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4700.595$315.84+$66.35
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.275$311.05+$96.14
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.9100.900$189.00$2.10
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · No0.8400.895$101.48+$6.24
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8700.925$92.50+$5.50
Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1750.205$25.01+$3.65
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1700.043$9.90$28.80
Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1480.029$4.98$20.01
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9570.972$4.50+$0.07
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev · Zverev0.4480.000$0.00$2.0k
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No0.4400.000$0.00$44.00
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.9300.000$0.00$5.6k
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage · Team Yandex0.6100.000$0.00$305.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 02:06Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.993$6.4k
09-15 19:02Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-15?SELL0.27$831.70
09-15 19:01Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-15?SELL0.27$2.70
09-15 03:01Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.22$2.4k
09-12 23:50Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)BUY0.72$26.64
09-12 09:50Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.64$640.00
09-11 23:16US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben SheltonBUY0.72$720.00
09-09 18:59Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?BUY0.56$559.99
09-06 17:46Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 WinnerBUY0.65$305.50
09-06 17:36Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 WinnerBUY0.67$179.59
09-06 17:33Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto PlayoffsBUY0.88$32.62
09-01 16:57Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?BUY0.021$6.87
09-01 16:55Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?BUY0.022$29.85
09-01 16:54Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?BUY0.02$20.20
09-01 16:54Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?BUY0.019$5.76