TJpols
0xb22286fa6aae823129fca4bc70f93d0b167ed26b
- Realised P&L
- $554.50
- Volume
- $14.4k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $52.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$516.82at 0.204Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?
- +$91.00at 0.090Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$87.58at 0.260Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?
- +$35.76at 0.210Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$29.25at 0.035Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 14:27 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.0409999998 | $4.00 |
| 09-14 05:25 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 16:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 15:48 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.0140000003 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 17:28 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 17:27 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 19:54 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 07-22 16:36 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.12 | $9.00 |
| 07-21 14:19 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.017999991 | $2.00 |
| 07-20 15:58 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 15:58 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0240000002 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 22:05 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0589999464 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 22:02 | World Cup Finals: Own Goal Scored? | SELL | 0.0199554424 | $0.31 |
| 07-19 21:44 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.91 | $46.07 |