PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TJpols

0xb22286fa6aae823129fca4bc70f93d0b167ed26b

Realised P&L
$554.50
Volume
$14.4k
Markets traded
181
Open portfolio
$52.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded181
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.250$20.75+$10.79
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.1400.215$15.36+$5.36
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · Yes0.1130.071$6.28$3.72
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1220.045$3.67$6.33
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · Yes0.0410.035$3.41$0.59
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0220.009$2.72$4.28
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$10.00
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$1.00
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.00
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$1.00
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 gross profit margin 70%+? · Yes0.1460.000$0.00$2.00
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$1.00
Solana Up or Down on October 22? · Up0.0440.000$0.00$1.00
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$2.00
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 14:27Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.0409999998$4.00
09-14 05:25Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1399999989$10.00
09-12 16:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.16$5.00
08-04 15:48Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.0140000003$1.00
07-30 17:28Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 31?BUY0.05$1.00
07-30 17:27Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 31?BUY0.179999928$2.00
07-29 19:54Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 30?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
07-29 19:51Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 30?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
07-22 16:36Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.12$9.00
07-21 14:19Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.017999991$2.00
07-20 15:58Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
07-20 15:58Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0240000002$5.00
07-19 22:05Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0589999464$1.00
07-19 22:02World Cup Finals: Own Goal Scored?SELL0.0199554424$0.31
07-19 21:44Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.91$46.07