Bulan
0xb2205cf17e537ae99864b4723face24ba06db07c
- Realised P&L
- $28.3k
- Volume
- $1.29M
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $389.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.0kat 0.300Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$6.3kat 0.006Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$5.8kat 0.180Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
- +$3.8kat 0.172Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?
- +$3.0kat 0.207Bukauskas vs. Cutelaba
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 08:19 | Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $119.94 |
| 04-28 10:12 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.57 |
| 04-28 10:11 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0637563063 | $42.46 |
| 04-28 10:10 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.027 | $11.99 |
| 04-24 10:56 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.009 | $50.97 |
| 04-24 10:54 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0214630227 | $153.50 |
| 04-19 03:41 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.044 | $9.88 |
| 04-19 03:39 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.16799 | $100.79 |
| 04-18 08:12 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0695094884 | $215.56 |
| 04-15 13:17 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.013 | $52.00 |
| 04-13 13:21 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.813 | $239.83 |
| 04-13 13:16 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.813 | $563.73 |
| 04-09 16:02 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.80 |
| 04-09 16:00 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.35 |
| 04-09 16:00 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.12 |