PolyBot

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Traders

Bulan

0xb2205cf17e537ae99864b4723face24ba06db07c

Realised P&L
$32.0k
Volume
$1.81M
Markets traded
207
Open portfolio
$23.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded207
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.6670.660$4.3k$45.57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8400.835$3.5k$21.10
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? · No0.8610.861$1.7k$1.00
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · No0.7580.637$1.6k$294.95
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.1940.185$1.2k$62.65
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.3800.355$1.2k$85.62
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5040.545$1.2k+$88.86
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) · Alexandre Pantoja0.4590.435$884.14$48.59
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.4600.370$821.77$199.89
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.2220.235$648.28+$34.62
Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · No0.8900.945$632.13+$36.82
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0740.075$566.25+$13.62
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3990.026$517.79$7.4k
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.3760.445$474.80+$73.96
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · No0.2800.325$391.92+$54.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 11:56Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?SELL0.0350176547$56.19
09-18 11:36Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Lavked - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.01$10.37
09-18 08:32Will Trevor Lawrence win the 2026 NFL MVP?SELL0.0509199461$59.74
09-17 09:44Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 American League MVP Award?BUY0.88895663$535.38
09-15 23:04Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?SELL0.16$117.60
09-15 23:02Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.5227272727$172.50
09-15 23:01Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.38$1.3k
09-15 07:11Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.220308103$743.58
09-15 03:27Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?BUY0.72$206.92
09-15 03:27Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?BUY0.9115384615$118.50
09-14 23:36UFC 331: Renato Moicano vs. Brian Ortega (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.343299138$2.9k
09-14 20:25Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP?BUY0.9351646895$1.5k
09-14 11:30Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.19$16.74
09-14 11:29Will Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.0697883327$1.77
09-14 10:22Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?BUY0.838$1.7k