BNHB1
0xb2027caa0f6475142b5494bd1fc980507b1ec276
- Realised P&L
- $4.64
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $70.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? · No | 0.983 | 0.958 | $68.22 | −$1.78 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.447 | 0.415 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.275 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.765 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.55at 0.470Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
- +$12.68at 0.710Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
- +$4.46at 0.940Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
- +$4.29at 0.840Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?
- +$3.78at 0.840Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 12:38 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:37 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.4469998932 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? | BUY | 0.9829999999 | $70.00 |
| 09-01 07:17 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.7647058734 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 11:15 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9579999962 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 05:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $900 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $78.00 |
| 06-23 01:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9989999882 | $78.00 |
| 05-14 05:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? | BUY | 0.9909999999 | $54.00 |
| 05-14 05:24 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999991 | $20.00 |
| 04-19 13:08 | Will Solana dip to $30 in April? | BUY | 0.996 | $74.66 |
| 03-26 01:14 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999899 | $74.47 |
| 02-28 01:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? | BUY | 0.9989999929 | $74.40 |
| 01-08 03:27 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $69.94 |
| 12-16 01:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9909999869 | $69.31 |
| 11-13 04:10 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on November 13? | BUY | 0.9979999889 | $69.17 |