PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ToniPolster

0xb1fcbff6ff8041f3f144925b7977da4ab91551ac

Realised P&L
$66.00
Volume
$29.5k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$189.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:56Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?BUY0.088$5.28
10-29 13:19Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.5599999919$25.00
10-29 12:30Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?SELL0.975$22.15
10-27 17:03Will Scott Black win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election?BUY0.1799999856$2.00
10-27 17:03Will Scott Black win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election?BUY0.1759530771$10.00
10-27 17:00Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?BUY0.1819999965$5.00
10-27 14:58SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?BUY0.3699999984$7.00
10-27 10:17Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?BUY0.6979999972$15.00
10-26 20:31Will PP win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.5099999776$10.00
10-26 20:30Will Hochul sign the data center moratorium bill in 2026?BUY0.2199999974$10.00
10-14 12:11Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?BUY0.2599999993$7.00
10-14 10:56Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?BUY0.8$15.00
10-13 08:46Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?SELL0.42$3.36
10-13 08:44Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?BUY0.4378109278$10.00
10-13 08:37Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?BUY0.1194124905$6.00