0xb1F010Fd8D9A2A7101e243Da33187bcc21bf69B3-1762958288351
0xb1f010fd8d9a2a7101e243da33187bcc21bf69b3
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $71.7k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.050Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$1.2kat 0.670Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$324.00at 0.760Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
- +$254.20at 0.887Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$243.29at 0.757Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:02 | Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $61.81 |
| 11-01 18:39 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $204.00 |
| 10-28 12:05 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899033653 | $300.00 |
| 10-26 18:05 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.079 | $31.60 |
| 10-26 00:03 | Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by less than 3%? | BUY | 0.8993813702 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 00:02 | Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.9547250812 | $91.09 |
| 10-25 23:51 | Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.9049855573 | $110.00 |
| 10-25 23:51 | Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round? | BUY | 0.919763676 | $121.00 |
| 10-25 23:49 | Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.09125 | $7.30 |
| 10-25 23:47 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%? | BUY | 0.94 | $477.02 |
| 10-25 23:28 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%? | BUY | 0.2689565633 | $61.86 |
| 10-25 23:23 | Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.7212321263 | $62.14 |
| 10-25 23:21 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%? | BUY | 0.18 | $5.40 |
| 10-25 23:21 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%? | BUY | 0.2 | $60.00 |
| 10-25 23:13 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.0490859964 | $20.00 |