PolyBot

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Traders

0xb1F010Fd8D9A2A7101e243Da33187bcc21bf69B3-1762958288351

0xb1f010fd8d9a2a7101e243da33187bcc21bf69b3

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$71.7k
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)79.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? · Yes0.9470.958$594.92+$6.60
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2900.255$263.88−$36.12
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3400.335$201.00−$3.00
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1100.115$115.00+$5.00
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2800.285$102.60+$1.80
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? · No0.0900.095$65.25+$3.43
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? · Yes0.9500.629$33.34−$17.01
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22? · No0.0700.000$0.00−$21.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · Yes0.1420.000$0.00−$303.54
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00−$31.60
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%? · Yes0.1980.000$0.00−$65.40
Will Shamrock Rovers win on 2026-09-04? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$15.68
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · No0.1660.000$0.00−$33.20
Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 17? · Yes0.3790.000$0.00−$763.37
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%? · No0.2690.000$0.00−$80.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:02Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.09$61.81
11-01 18:39Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.34$204.00
10-28 12:05Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2899033653$300.00
10-26 18:05Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.079$31.60
10-26 00:03Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by less than 3%?BUY0.8993813702$1.00
10-26 00:02Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?BUY0.9547250812$91.09
10-25 23:51Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?BUY0.9049855573$110.00
10-25 23:51Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round?BUY0.919763676$121.00
10-25 23:49Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?SELL0.09125$7.30
10-25 23:47Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?BUY0.94$477.02
10-25 23:28Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?BUY0.2689565633$61.86
10-25 23:23Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?BUY0.7212321263$62.14
10-25 23:21Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?BUY0.18$5.40
10-25 23:21Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?BUY0.2$60.00
10-25 23:13Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.0490859964$20.00