0xb1d027060b2ba0149ab3c0e933b9f7e4fa525a98
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 205
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded205
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.890 | 0.895 | $201.12 | +$1.12 |
| Bulls vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.830 | 0.825 | $198.80 | −$1.20 |
| Jazz vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.910 | 0.895 | $196.70 | −$3.30 |
| Bucks vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.800 | 0.785 | $196.25 | −$3.75 |
| Kings vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.790 | 0.745 | $188.61 | −$11.39 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.722 | 0.765 | $129.41 | +$7.21 |
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers | 0.610 | 0.605 | $99.18 | −$0.82 |
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers · Thunder | 0.400 | 0.395 | $67.15 | −$0.85 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) · Bears | 0.530 | 0.525 | $10.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.725 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Raiders vs. 49ers · 49ers | 0.860 | 0.805 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears · Bears | 0.760 | 0.695 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Nets vs. Wizards · Wizards | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: 76ers (-12.5) · 76ers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Pistons vs. Wizards · Pistons | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.8kat 0.527Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
- +$5.1kat 0.448Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
- +$3.4kat 0.547Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
- +$1.9kat 0.624Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$1.8kat 0.696Hawks vs. Knicks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 09:41 | Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 09:40 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.73 | $100.00 |
| 11-02 09:33 | Thunder vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.4 | $68.00 |
| 11-02 09:32 | Thunder vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.6099999985 | $100.00 |
| 11-02 09:31 | Jazz vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.91 | $200.00 |
| 11-02 09:30 | Kings vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.7899999999 | $200.00 |
| 11-02 09:29 | Bucks vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.8 | $200.00 |
| 11-02 09:29 | Nets vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.89 | $200.00 |
| 11-02 09:28 | Bulls vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.829999998 | $200.00 |
| 11-02 09:00 | Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 23:53 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 23:53 | Cavaliers vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 23:52 | Ravens vs. Bills | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 23:52 | Raiders vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 23:52 | Buccaneers vs. Bears | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |