PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb1c2303E6932b80341fb094a5F6A1828CffD115a-1771704357763

0xb1c2303e6932b80341fb094a5f6a1828cffd115a

Realised P&L
$-17.95
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
136
Open portfolio
$28.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded136
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8600.970$5.64+$0.64
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9630.990$5.14+$0.14
Blue tsunami in 2026? · No0.6500.325$2.50−$2.50
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.6000.285$2.37−$2.63
Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9200.991$1.08+$0.08
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9300.993$1.07+$0.07
Will the Republican Party win the NE-03 House seat? · Yes0.9300.987$1.06+$0.06
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9400.991$1.05+$0.05
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7000.715$1.02+$0.02
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7500.735$0.98−$0.02
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9100.865$0.95−$0.05
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.8790.160$0.91−$4.09
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6400.535$0.84−$0.16
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8400.695$0.83−$0.17
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0120.007$0.62−$0.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 10:17Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.963$5.86
09-13 10:17Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.988$5.17
09-13 10:16Will Iran legalize gay marriage?SELL0.979$1.01
09-13 10:16Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.953$1.04
08-18 12:20Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.962$1.08
08-18 12:20Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?SELL0.75$1.12
08-18 12:20Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?SELL0.88$1.18
05-26 10:28Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.962$1.14
05-10 13:48Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?BUY0.1759998606$1.00
05-10 13:46Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?BUY0.6499999675$5.00
05-10 13:44Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$1.00
05-10 13:43Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
05-10 13:42Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0749999325$1.00
05-10 13:42Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0869999272$1.00
05-10 13:41Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.02$1.00