0xb1c2303E6932b80341fb094a5F6A1828CffD115a-1771704357763
0xb1c2303e6932b80341fb094a5f6a1828cffd115a
- Realised P&L
- $-25.21
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $57.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.22at 0.730Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
- +$1.04at 0.490Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Cabinet meeting on March 26?
- +$0.97at 0.830Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
- +$0.93at 0.400Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?
- +$0.87at 0.536Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 10:28 | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | SELL | 0.962 | $1.14 |
| 05-10 13:48 | Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? | BUY | 0.1759998606 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 13:46 | Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 13:44 | Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 13:43 | Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 13:42 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0749999325 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 13:42 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0869999272 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 13:41 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 13:40 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0519999513 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 13:40 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0879999226 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 13:37 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? | SELL | 0.985 | $1.02 |
| 05-09 11:00 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 10:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | SELL | 0.985 | $1.18 |
| 05-07 09:02 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.03 |
| 04-29 10:35 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $1.33 |