PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xb1c2303E6932b80341fb094a5F6A1828CffD115a-1771704357763

0xb1c2303e6932b80341fb094a5f6a1828cffd115a

Realised P&L
$-25.21
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
136
Open portfolio
$57.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded136
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? · Yes0.6500.925$7.12+$2.12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8200.945$5.76+$0.76
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8600.935$5.44+$0.44
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9560.974$5.09+$0.09
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9630.981$5.09+$0.09
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.6000.555$4.62$0.38
Blue tsunami in 2026? · No0.6500.595$4.58$0.42
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? · No0.7400.900$1.21+$0.21
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? · No0.6700.740$1.10+$0.10
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8920.962$1.08+$0.08
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8400.905$1.08+$0.08
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0270.029$1.06+$0.06
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7000.725$1.04+$0.04
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9100.940$1.03+$0.03
Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9200.945$1.03+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-26 10:28Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.962$1.14
05-10 13:48Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?BUY0.1759998606$1.00
05-10 13:46Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?BUY0.6499999675$5.00
05-10 13:44Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$1.00
05-10 13:43Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
05-10 13:42Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0749999325$1.00
05-10 13:42Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0869999272$1.00
05-10 13:41Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.02$1.00
05-10 13:40Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0519999513$1.00
05-10 13:40Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0879999226$1.00
05-10 13:37Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?SELL0.985$1.02
05-09 11:00Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.089999919$1.00
05-09 10:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?SELL0.985$1.18
05-07 09:02Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.998$5.03
04-29 10:35Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?SELL0.97$1.33