PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb1b3023167b5ced7538225e98e19da557616a386

Realised P&L
$-4.0k
Volume
$8.46M
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$6.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.3690.370$2.0k+$4.54
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.6230.735$1.1k+$168.53
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.1830.185$832.50+$8.51
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6870.705$634.50+$16.50
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.0730.085$569.50+$81.54
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8140.885$442.49+$35.28
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.7950.816$408.00+$10.50
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.3500.140$220.34$330.99
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0380.048$57.04+$11.82
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$510.55
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$58.0k
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$68.0k
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$50.5k
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4980.000$0.00$508.90
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$50.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-22 09:11Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.46$36.61
08-22 09:11Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.37$3.70
08-10 13:51Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.5939393939$196.00
08-10 13:48Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?SELL0.4010610669$239.98
08-08 04:18Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?SELL0.4510869565$41.50
08-08 00:11Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?SELL0.4883333333$29.30
07-08 06:42Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.999$99.90
07-07 22:10Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0135$6.75
07-07 17:23Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.012$156.00
07-07 01:23Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.37$37.00
07-07 01:22Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.37$74.00
07-06 18:09Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.69$276.00
07-03 22:03Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.008$3.95
07-03 22:03Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.011$5.44
07-03 22:03Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.018$8.89