0xb1b3023167b5ced7538225e98e19da557616a386
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $8.46M
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $6.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.173Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$630.30at 0.661Will BIG qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
- +$507.52at 0.790Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
- +$495.33at 0.500Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$401.36at 0.708Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 09:11 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.46 | $36.61 |
| 08-22 09:11 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 08-10 13:51 | Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.5939393939 | $196.00 |
| 08-10 13:48 | Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.4010610669 | $239.98 |
| 08-08 04:18 | Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.4510869565 | $41.50 |
| 08-08 00:11 | Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.4883333333 | $29.30 |
| 07-08 06:42 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-07 22:10 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0135 | $6.75 |
| 07-07 17:23 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.012 | $156.00 |
| 07-07 01:23 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 07-07 01:22 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.37 | $74.00 |
| 07-06 18:09 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.69 | $276.00 |
| 07-03 22:03 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.008 | $3.95 |
| 07-03 22:03 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.011 | $5.44 |
| 07-03 22:03 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.018 | $8.89 |