sosala
0xb195b090056e8f6eca3c3879e0678348330b0c62
- Realised P&L
- $-262.78
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $186.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.372 | 0.225 | $55.03 | −$35.97 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No | 0.361 | 0.355 | $49.09 | −$0.91 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.270 | 0.255 | $31.17 | −$1.83 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.348 | 0.085 | $27.83 | −$86.17 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.339 | 0.325 | $23.03 | −$0.97 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes | 0.367 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · England | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.17at 0.457Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
- +$46.08at 0.425Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$42.72at 0.647MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$26.16at 0.540England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
- +$5.23at 0.315MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:50 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3386946103 | $24.00 |
| 09-16 15:50 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999992 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 15:49 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2699999983 | $33.00 |
| 09-16 15:48 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.361575295 | $50.00 |
| 07-15 20:44 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5274999919 | $30.00 |
| 07-15 19:18 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3674999893 | $15.00 |
| 07-15 19:18 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999997 | $35.00 |
| 06-29 12:33 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1490528261 | $11.00 |
| 06-29 12:33 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999839 | $7.00 |
| 06-29 12:33 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $33.00 |
| 06-15 17:08 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0502297938 | $3.00 |
| 06-05 01:08 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999944 | $22.00 |
| 06-04 23:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999907 | $15.00 |
| 06-04 01:04 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 13:15 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.702 | $257.82 |