PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sosala

0xb195b090056e8f6eca3c3879e0678348330b0c62

Realised P&L
$-262.78
Volume
$7.3k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$186.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3720.225$55.03$35.97
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3610.355$49.09$0.91
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.2700.255$31.17$1.83
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3480.085$27.83$86.17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? · Yes0.3390.325$23.03$0.97
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0940.000$0.00$33.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$51.00
Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes0.3670.000$0.00$15.00
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · England0.5400.000$0.00$35.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 15:50Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?BUY0.3386946103$24.00
09-16 15:50Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2399999992$25.00
09-16 15:49Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2699999983$33.00
09-16 15:48Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.361575295$50.00
07-15 20:44England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5BUY0.5274999919$30.00
07-15 19:18Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3674999893$15.00
07-15 19:18England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5399999997$35.00
06-29 12:33Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1490528261$11.00
06-29 12:33Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999839$7.00
06-29 12:33Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.15$33.00
06-15 17:08Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0502297938$3.00
06-05 01:08Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3099999944$22.00
06-04 23:41Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3099999907$15.00
06-04 01:04Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?BUY0.059999989$5.00
06-01 13:15MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.702$257.82