0xB186eC58BE2dc4F5776D2568E2B91e30A6521ad9-1769876990827
0xb186ec58be2dc4f5776d2568e2b91e30a6521ad9
- Realised P&L
- $26.55
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 260
- Open portfolio
- $50.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded260
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.52at 0.310US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$42.70at 0.378US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$36.67at 0.120Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$30.71at 0.140Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
- +$26.79at 0.272Will "Knee injury" be said at the Super Bowl?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 13:39 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 13:39 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.4299999498 | $3.00 |
| 10-23 14:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 15:03 | Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 15:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 12:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 15:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 10:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 07:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999919 | $25.00 |
| 08-06 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 20:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999945 | $25.00 |
| 07-24 06:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 06:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 06:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 06:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |