PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xB186eC58BE2dc4F5776D2568E2B91e30A6521ad9-1769876990827

0xb186ec58be2dc4f5776d2568e2b91e30a6521ad9

Realised P&L
$26.55
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
260
Open portfolio
$50.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded260
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1880.204$10.88+$0.88
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4000.705$8.81+$3.81
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.5400.925$8.56+$3.56
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0030.016$5.33+$4.33
Revolut IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2050.040$3.86−$16.14
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.3500.135$1.93−$3.07
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1010.161$1.59+$0.59
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3010.021$1.43−$18.57
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2430.154$1.27−$0.73
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.065$1.20−$3.80
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0420.050$1.19+$0.19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1900.045$0.95−$3.05
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes0.1700.029$0.85−$4.15
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.2500.029$0.58−$4.42
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? · Yes0.3000.130$0.43−$0.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 13:39Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?BUY0.16$2.00
10-29 13:39Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?BUY0.4299999498$3.00
10-23 14:25Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.5599999642$5.00
09-18 15:03Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3699999593$2.00
09-14 15:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.5199999792$5.00
09-10 12:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.4799999846$5.00
08-06 15:22Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.3899999774$5.00
08-06 10:39Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETBUY0.16$5.00
08-06 07:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETBUY0.5599999919$25.00
08-06 07:31Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.3799999742$5.00
07-28 20:15Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.3799999945$25.00
07-24 06:30Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETBUY0.1899999726$5.00
07-24 06:27Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETBUY0.4$5.00
07-24 06:21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETBUY0.2599999646$5.00
07-23 06:40Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.4899999804$5.00