PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kevinbolcic

0xb184a4fef7a30886b60a57c10f2b995b0429d306

Realised P&L
$1.20
Volume
$395.00
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$48.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration79.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.3200.310$31.05−$0.95
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 180 and 209 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? · Yes0.1600.145$7.25−$0.75
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.290$5.80+$0.00
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? · Yes0.3300.235$4.70−$1.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 22:54Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.25$25.00