PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

3awerpoghaoe

0xb16b765965fb55ac8e366305f20f97ba108d3a57

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$626.9k
Markets traded
2,396
Open portfolio
$23.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,396
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? · Yes0.1160.058$23.20−$23.10
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner · Team Liquid0.3900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1340.000$0.00−$58.41
Will BetBoom Team win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament · Yes0.3580.000$0.00−$8.23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$8.80
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$39.41
Will 1W win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$7.50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3880.000$0.00−$1.3k
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$16.09
US x China tariff agreement by July 31? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00−$10.00
Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes0.3570.000$0.00−$116.54
Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026? · No0.7770.000$0.00−$116.49
Will Team Falcons win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$51.00
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Team Liquid0.1800.000$0.00−$1.08
Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026? · Yes0.4360.000$0.00−$109.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 09:55Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.53$269.18
09-21 09:55Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.44$220.00
09-11 12:39Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.22$227.74
09-10 12:49Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.36$222.91
09-04 12:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.45$92.54
08-24 16:25Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 24?BUY0.999$159.93
08-23 09:30Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?BUY0.56$11.20
08-23 02:57Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?BUY0.958$43.11
08-22 12:34Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.97$161.66
08-22 12:28Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.9836936937$109.19
08-22 12:22Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsSELL0.85$51.00
08-22 11:45Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.7$42.00
08-22 10:14Will Eastern Europe & CIS region win The International 2026?BUY0.999$560.43
08-22 04:13Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.3899999774$5.00
08-22 04:13Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.18$1.08