PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

554m

0xb11997a4f89efb15246d5f429320275fd157f8cd

Realised P&L
$-21.5k
Volume
$501.3k
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.5200.875$1.8k+$710.00
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.7200.959$959.00+$239.00
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.4100.961$288.30+$165.30
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.7340.037$135.98−$2.5k
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.1500.555$75.82+$55.33
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5400.046$26.48−$281.04
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.6500.021$17.60−$540.48
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5500.039$8.58−$112.37
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.6000.060$3.60−$32.40
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$32.08
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.3400.000$0.00−$37.90
Lakers vs. Clippers · Lakers0.6600.000$0.00−$7.26
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$2.5k
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? · Up0.0290.000$0.00−$8.79
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$56.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 14:45Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.59$118.00
05-07 18:39Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?BUY0.5$3.02
03-10 12:26Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.09$2.05
03-10 12:21StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.09$22.50
03-06 10:34Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.13$39.00
02-08 19:54MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?BUY0.66$6.60
02-05 18:31Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?BUY0.67$18.76
02-04 12:51Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.07$13.27
02-04 04:43EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.87$43.50
02-04 04:41MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?BUY0.43$103.20
02-03 11:41Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.16$2.49
02-03 11:40Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.16$8.00
02-03 11:39Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.162$16.20
02-03 11:38Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.19$1.48
02-02 04:19Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.018$12.53