554m
0xb11997a4f89efb15246d5f429320275fd157f8cd
- Realised P&L
- $-21.5k
- Volume
- $501.3k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.551Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19?
- +$1.6kat 0.679MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$1.5kat 0.658Bitcoin Up or Down on December 25?
- +$1.2kat 0.646Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$790.32at 0.633Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 14:45 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.59 | $118.00 |
| 05-07 18:39 | Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.02 |
| 03-10 12:26 | Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.05 |
| 03-10 12:21 | StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.09 | $22.50 |
| 03-06 10:34 | Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.13 | $39.00 |
| 02-08 19:54 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 02-05 18:31 | Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.67 | $18.76 |
| 02-04 12:51 | Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.07 | $13.27 |
| 02-04 04:43 | EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 02-04 04:41 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.43 | $103.20 |
| 02-03 11:41 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.49 |
| 02-03 11:40 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 02-03 11:39 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.162 | $16.20 |
| 02-03 11:38 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.48 |
| 02-02 04:19 | Based FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.018 | $12.53 |