Technique
0xb10fca33ed45253a3a647dd8dc80ac11687a56f4
- Realised P&L
- $687.77
- Volume
- $55.9k
- Markets traded
- 470
- Open portfolio
- $390.28
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded470
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$219.10at 0.056Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$166.32at 0.375Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$105.05at 0.487Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$95.00at 0.050Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$85.41at 0.100Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 07:54 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | BUY | 0.1288161793 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 07:52 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | BUY | 0.3973509934 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 07:50 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300? | BUY | 0.1749079363 | $19.00 |
| 08-01 12:05 | Manchester United vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3899999855 | $14.50 |
| 07-31 01:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.98 | $62.36 |
| 07-30 19:02 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 07-30 19:00 | Will Trump say "Putin" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 08:01 | Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 08:00 | Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 17:26 | Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team? | SELL | 0.991 | $50.82 |
| 07-28 16:27 | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 07:46 | Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump? | BUY | 0.0989999911 | $9.00 |
| 07-27 16:44 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.29 | $9.67 |
| 07-27 16:44 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.3699999903 | $19.00 |
| 07-27 07:59 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4489999777 | $9.50 |