alertpilot123
0xb10aba517eecbdec9b11884c4f5cca269ecb5b24
- Realised P&L
- $97.59
- Volume
- $18.3k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $624.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.63at 0.123Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
- +$113.36at 0.550Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
- +$77.31at 0.790Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
- +$63.89at 0.764Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$49.02at 0.305Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:01 | Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0569999999 | $1.29 |
| 09-11 15:19 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999906 | $3.08 |
| 09-10 12:39 | Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.2599999683 | $1.97 |
| 09-10 12:10 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.6499999715 | $6.85 |
| 09-04 20:01 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 19:15 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1099999245 | $1.18 |
| 09-04 16:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 09:55 | Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series? | BUY | 0.6819999221 | $1.47 |
| 09-03 19:50 | Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8699999302 | $9.35 |
| 09-03 19:49 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 19:18 | Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.70 |
| 09-02 14:50 | Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.5789999089 | $6.30 |
| 09-01 19:00 | Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.16 |
| 09-01 16:35 | Counter-Strike: Metizport vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.34 | $4.74 |
| 09-01 15:26 | Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $0.34 |