lxlsznbd
0xb102a8b386effb76c41d59cfcbd3d2375f5e8448
- Realised P&L
- $-159.72
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $477.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $20? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.900 | $260.10 | −$28.61 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.984 | 0.992 | $217.14 | +$1.64 |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.983 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$196.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.68at 0.680Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
- +$8.38at 0.971Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
- +$4.40at 0.980Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
- +$3.80at 0.980Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in June?
- +$3.00at 0.940Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 01:52 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $20? | BUY | 0.999 | $288.71 |
| 08-04 10:24 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 08-04 10:23 | Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.50 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 07-26 12:21 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in July? | BUY | 0.995 | $84.03 |
| 07-26 12:19 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of July? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.54 |
| 07-26 12:19 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 end of July? | BUY | 0.99 | $30.28 |
| 07-26 12:18 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of July? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-26 12:18 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of July? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-26 12:18 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of July? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 07-26 12:15 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $150.70 |
| 07-26 09:47 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $215.50 |
| 07-24 10:25 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of July 20 above $155? | BUY | 0.9981088297 | $112.00 |
| 07-24 10:24 | Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of July 20 above $410? | BUY | 0.998 | $94.81 |
| 07-24 10:20 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 07-24 10:20 | Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of July 20 above $275? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |