lxlsznbd
0xb102a8b386effb76c41d59cfcbd3d2375f5e8448
- Realised P&L
- $-122.00
- Volume
- $13.3k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $514.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.984 | 0.999 | $227.77 | +$3.42 |
| Trump out as President by September 30? · No | 0.990 | 0.999 | $218.22 | +$1.86 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.968 | 0.982 | $68.70 | +$0.94 |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.983 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$196.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.70at 0.680Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
- +$8.38at 0.971Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
- +$5.72at 0.972Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August?
- +$4.18at 0.981Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
- +$3.65at 0.981Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 11:24 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $67.75 |
| 09-15 06:44 | Will XRP reach $2.10 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.999 | $70.93 |
| 09-07 00:58 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $285.71 |
| 09-05 02:33 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $299.40 |
| 09-01 07:04 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 31 – Sep 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 09-01 07:04 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 31 – Sep 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 09-01 07:04 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 31 – Sep 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 09-01 07:03 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.75 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $48.50 |
| 08-24 07:03 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August? | BUY | 0.9759463771 | $119.00 |
| 08-24 07:01 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August? | BUY | 0.96 | $38.40 |
| 08-24 07:01 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August? | BUY | 0.96 | $38.40 |
| 08-24 06:58 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.50 in August? | BUY | 0.992 | $99.20 |
| 08-21 07:18 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $178.82 |
| 08-17 09:01 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 08-17 09:01 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |