degbet90
0xb100d761c163b776382fa988b8c8a4b5280e439d
- Realised P&L
- $-108.49
- Volume
- $19.2k
- Markets traded
- 362
- Open portfolio
- $82.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded362
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.370 | 0.875 | $11.80 | +$6.81 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.300 | $10.34 | −$9.66 |
| Predators vs. Maple Leafs · Predators | 0.410 | 0.635 | $7.73 | +$2.74 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes | 0.771 | 0.195 | $7.59 | −$22.41 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.241 | 0.168 | $5.51 | −$2.42 |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens · Canadiens | 0.470 | 0.505 | $5.36 | +$0.37 |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) · Lakers | 0.470 | 0.465 | $4.94 | −$0.05 |
| Blues vs. Blackhawks · Blackhawks | 0.430 | 0.425 | $4.93 | −$0.06 |
| Southern Miss vs. Troy: O/U 51.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.490 | $4.90 | −$0.10 |
| Spread: Washington (-2.5) · Iowa | 0.490 | 0.455 | $4.63 | −$0.36 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-10.5) · Cowboys | 0.450 | 0.415 | $4.60 | −$0.39 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.038 | $4.47 | −$15.53 |
| Spread: Ravens (-3.5) · Ravens | 0.430 | 0.265 | $3.08 | −$1.91 |
| Islanders vs. Rangers · Islanders | 0.420 | 0.245 | $2.91 | −$2.08 |
| Netherlands vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.33at 0.120Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
- +$48.97at 0.290Kansas Jayhawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers
- +$45.30at 0.638Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
- +$41.73at 0.608Will AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?
- +$38.89at 0.720Broncos vs. Commanders
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 18:31 | Southern Miss vs. Troy: O/U 51.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 18:25 | Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4099999901 | $4.99 |
| 10-06 18:20 | England vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.469999968 | $4.99 |
| 10-06 18:12 | Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 17:47 | Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.469999968 | $4.99 |
| 10-06 17:05 | Spread: Warriors (-3.5) | BUY | 0.469999968 | $4.99 |
| 10-06 15:32 | Islanders vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.4199999781 | $4.99 |
| 10-06 13:19 | Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.3699999859 | $4.99 |
| 10-06 13:03 | England vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 13:00 | England vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 11:54 | Blues vs. Blackhawks | BUY | 0.429999969 | $4.99 |
| 10-06 11:01 | Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4399999647 | $4.99 |
| 10-06 07:52 | Predators vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.4099999901 | $4.99 |
| 10-06 05:29 | Scotland vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3899999937 | $4.99 |
| 10-06 00:23 | Spread: Ravens (-3.5) | BUY | 0.429999969 | $4.99 |