0xNorthstrider
0xb0f1f2684e8f42a24e7b73068788da4901f09f29
- Realised P&L
- $-762.22
- Volume
- $104.8k
- Markets traded
- 410
- Open portfolio
- $52.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded410
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$784.55at 0.338Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11AM ET
- +$483.76at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 9?
- +$373.37at 0.446Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$307.15at 0.494Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
- +$274.35at 0.422Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 17:59 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.93 | $19.37 |
| 08-05 04:33 | Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 21:42 | Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3662891568 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 23:07 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2139999753 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 00:07 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 14:46 | U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? | BUY | 0.3053248657 | $50.00 |
| 06-17 02:27 | U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? | BUY | 0.2606177246 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 19:56 | Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 04:51 | Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 04:51 | Will the Republican Party win the AZ-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 04:49 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.2970296671 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 04:49 | Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 04:47 | Will the Democratic Party win the MD-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 04:47 | Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.2666139731 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 04:45 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |