PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kiijhgvx

0xb0ec3c8b92996265f5a5d2bbe12600b31dd59589

Realised P&L
$210.16
Volume
$20.5k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$455.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration78.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.5190.824$329.47+$121.94
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.2700.218$65.40$15.60
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.1620.135$60.52$12.17
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1780.000$0.00$89.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00$57.00
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$4.20
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$43.00
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$4.60
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$5.30
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$44.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00$37.50
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$17.00
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$26.00
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$42.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 18:44Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.75$600.59
06-24 07:21Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.25$42.50
05-11 08:41Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.007$4.20
05-11 08:38Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.052$26.00
05-11 08:37Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.088$44.00
05-11 08:37Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.114$57.00
03-30 13:06US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.91$349.08
03-30 11:28Will Trump visit China by May 31?SELL0.73$312.92
03-30 08:24Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.971$29.13
03-25 14:03Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?BUY0.76$168.72
03-25 11:57Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?SELL0.83$272.16
03-25 07:32Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?SELL0.06$6.00
03-24 07:16US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.78$52.57
03-24 07:16US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.78$70.09
03-23 12:59US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.87$430.22