kiijhgvx
0xb0ec3c8b92996265f5a5d2bbe12600b31dd59589
- Realised P&L
- $210.16
- Volume
- $20.5k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $455.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$419.50at 0.161Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$98.10at 0.620Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- +$15.54at 0.760Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- +$1.04at 0.900Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by March 31?
- +$1.00at 0.920Iran leadership change by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 18:44 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $600.59 |
| 06-24 07:21 | Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.25 | $42.50 |
| 05-11 08:41 | Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.007 | $4.20 |
| 05-11 08:38 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.052 | $26.00 |
| 05-11 08:37 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.088 | $44.00 |
| 05-11 08:37 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.114 | $57.00 |
| 03-30 13:06 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SELL | 0.91 | $349.08 |
| 03-30 11:28 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $312.92 |
| 03-30 08:24 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.971 | $29.13 |
| 03-25 14:03 | Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.76 | $168.72 |
| 03-25 11:57 | Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.83 | $272.16 |
| 03-25 07:32 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 03-24 07:16 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $52.57 |
| 03-24 07:16 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $70.09 |
| 03-23 12:59 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $430.22 |