MMIWW
0xb0ba5c67366b081a92558daa05ead0b7cc78b3f9
- Realised P&L
- $990.33
- Volume
- $186.4k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $804.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$612.28at 0.729Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$518.07at 0.680US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$449.86at 0.452India military action against Pakistan before June?
- +$354.12at 0.557Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
- +$352.76at 0.567Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 16:11 | Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.0879938462 | $1.14 |
| 09-21 16:11 | Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.087 | $4.09 |
| 09-21 15:24 | Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.087 | $1.74 |
| 09-21 15:07 | Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.087 | $4.26 |
| 09-21 14:46 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $154.40 |
| 09-21 14:46 | Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.0868445596 | $16.76 |
| 09-19 01:39 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $48.45 |
| 09-19 01:39 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $33.84 |
| 09-17 22:28 | Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.839 | $72.31 |
| 09-17 22:23 | Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.824 | $66.51 |
| 09-15 23:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.89 | $905.13 |
| 09-15 23:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.89 | $160.19 |
| 08-29 16:50 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75012125 | $6.00 |
| 08-29 16:49 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.751 | $146.44 |
| 08-29 16:43 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.764 | $155.09 |