Prof-Jiang
0xb0b55f0708d9c8daf958cdedca5acfcc2ccccd01
- Realised P&L
- $-823.97
- Volume
- $142.6k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.391 | 0.155 | $1.5k | −$2.3k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.032 | $130.62 | −$447.66 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.265 | 0.089 | $67.87 | −$132.87 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · No | 0.233 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$976.16 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? · No | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$660.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Up | 0.325 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Down | 0.556 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.25 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · No | 0.621 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$517.82 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Up | 0.386 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$450.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.293Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$463.05at 0.160Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$433.79at 0.595US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$316.52at 0.640US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$198.28at 0.676Will Trump say "Ballroom" during trophy presentation?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 00:52 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2647084141 | $200.74 |
| 09-17 02:59 | Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $25.00 |
| 06-07 23:02 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $186.00 |
| 05-18 23:21 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.139454543 | $578.29 |
| 05-18 23:20 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | SELL | 0.0143611471 | $47.82 |
| 05-07 22:19 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999998 | $473.00 |
| 05-07 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2873693957 | $200.00 |
| 05-07 21:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5306591251 | $250.00 |
| 05-07 21:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5563581773 | $47.25 |
| 05-07 21:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2686511028 | $100.00 |
| 05-07 21:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999976 | $100.00 |
| 05-07 21:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.6739606373 | $100.00 |
| 05-07 21:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 05-07 11:28 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $199.80 |
| 05-07 11:27 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.13 | $403.00 |