PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

randombyte

0xb0a759e7a7d868d5a30eca7c9ddbbc4916bbb4fd

Realised P&L
$-3.4k
Volume
$155.2k
Markets traded
2,309
Open portfolio
$263.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,309
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.2820.265$143.06−$9.29
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0240.012$120.00−$120.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Down0.7100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Up0.3140.000$0.00−$23.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET · Down0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET · Up0.4010.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Down0.8500.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET · Up0.3520.000$0.00−$10.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET · Up0.0690.000$0.00−$57.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET · Down0.0190.000$0.00−$55.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Down0.4430.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Down0.0670.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET · Down0.5120.000$0.00−$96.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 21:02Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2871129674$52.36
09-30 21:01Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.28$70.00
09-30 20:59Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2790697674$30.00
09-11 13:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETBUY0.8584290746$100.00
09-11 13:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY0.7102342782$200.00
09-11 12:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.5965887046$100.00
09-03 19:42Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.1499999989$100.00
08-03 07:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.239999856$1.00
08-03 07:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.239999856$1.00
08-03 07:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.239999856$1.00
08-03 07:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.2199998548$1.00
08-03 07:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.2099998677$1.00
08-03 07:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.2299998275$1.00
08-03 07:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.2175201331$1.00
08-03 07:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.2099998677$1.00