randombyte
0xb0a759e7a7d868d5a30eca7c9ddbbc4916bbb4fd
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $155.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,309
- Open portfolio
- $263.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,309
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$464.08at 0.176Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
- +$254.70at 0.292Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
- +$221.23at 0.319Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
- +$165.46at 0.335Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
- +$160.46at 0.384Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 21:02 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2871129674 | $52.36 |
| 09-30 21:01 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $70.00 |
| 09-30 20:59 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2790697674 | $30.00 |
| 09-11 13:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8584290746 | $100.00 |
| 09-11 13:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.7102342782 | $200.00 |
| 09-11 12:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5965887046 | $100.00 |
| 09-03 19:42 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999989 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 07:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2175201331 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |