PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Skybark

0xb0719da9d806d672e7fa665141d6f8952d0a15cb

Realised P&L
$-166.38
Volume
$199.4k
Markets traded
138
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded138
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4110.512$1.5k+$304.97
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8850.954$646.78+$46.78
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2710.153$460.49$352.35
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8400.920$368.00+$32.00
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9400.935$93.50$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 02:59Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?BUY0.94$94.00
08-09 02:34Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?BUY0.84$336.00
08-09 02:32Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9614086304$373.85
07-19 02:48Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9706330423$463.60
07-16 18:13Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.268$268.00
07-16 18:13Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.4176166644$150.61
07-13 11:00Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.279$81.47
07-11 23:30Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.262$2.08
07-11 23:30Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.41$123.00
07-06 00:23Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.87$174.00
07-03 17:36Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.253$50.60
07-03 17:35Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.393$78.60
07-03 17:32Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.253$75.90
07-03 17:32Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.394$110.32
07-03 17:27Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.606$6.06