0xb04f8be8324c4b29613fd932f911f25343eccb1a
0xb04f8be8324c4b29613fd932f911f25343eccb1a
- Realised P&L
- $-87.30
- Volume
- $575.20
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $39.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.382 | 0.502 | $13.09 | +$3.14 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.160 | 1.000 | $10.50 | +$8.82 |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%? · Yes | 0.461 | 0.362 | $7.82 | −$2.13 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · No | 0.850 | 1.000 | $5.88 | +$0.88 |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · Yes | 0.451 | 0.280 | $1.86 | −$1.14 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.68 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.23at 0.890Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$-3.00at 0.738Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
- +$-9.95at 0.340Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$-79.60at 0.214Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-06 17:53 | SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | BUY | 0.4508536993 | $3.00 |
| 04-06 17:44 | Crude Oil all time high by April 30? | BUY | 0.2142193517 | $79.60 |
| 04-06 17:38 | Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%? | BUY | 0.4609999772 | $9.95 |
| 04-06 17:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.8499999405 | $5.00 |
| 04-06 17:36 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | BUY | 0.9099998339 | $4.00 |
| 04-06 17:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $2.94 |
| 04-06 17:26 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999231 | $9.95 |
| 04-06 17:24 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | BUY | 0.3399999877 | $9.95 |
| 04-06 17:22 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.3819999824 | $9.95 |
| 04-06 17:20 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.68 |
| 04-06 17:20 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.68 |