PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

beili

0xaff12a4b5df17176599ebfe074b472f3f515c92f

Realised P&L
$114.75
Volume
$94.8k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$8.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.990$3.47+$0.10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9390.981$2.82+$0.12
Will USD/CAD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026? · No0.9500.971$2.35+$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 03:20China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$3.13
08-18 08:58New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? SELL0.95$2.66
07-27 23:42Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?SELL0.66$1.74
07-02 10:08Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.999$4.22
06-19 02:15Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.973$2.98
06-19 02:15EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?SELL0.82$3.18
06-19 02:15Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.731$0.59
06-19 02:15Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?SELL0.712$3.82
05-14 16:29Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.9389997489$2.70
04-30 06:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?BUY0.996$1.5k
04-30 06:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?BUY0.995$195.50
04-28 02:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?BUY0.989$936.09
04-28 02:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?BUY0.988$44.42
04-28 01:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?BUY0.993$595.20
04-27 23:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?BUY0.991$2.5k