PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Connorwz

0xafde5b676d1771a7c645a40591d52b0d6ec5d98e

Realised P&L
$-92.96
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
454
Open portfolio
$88.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded454
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Base FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.4000.465$23.25+$3.25
Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.4900.445$22.25$2.25
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.3800.380$19.00+$0.00
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.2790.140$7.70$7.65
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.5300.875$4.38+$1.73
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.3700.545$2.73+$0.88
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.3800.485$2.42+$0.53
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.3800.430$2.15+$0.25
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.3500.315$1.57$0.17
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.2900.315$1.57+$0.13
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.5400.245$1.23$1.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 11:24Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 11?BUY0.999$9.99
08-11 10:54Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 11?BUY0.999$9.99
08-11 10:50Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 11?BUY0.999$9.99
08-11 10:24Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 11?BUY0.999$9.99
08-11 09:52Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 11?BUY0.999$9.99
08-11 08:02Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 11?BUY0.999$9.99
08-11 02:02Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 11?BUY0.999$9.99
08-11 02:02Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 11?BUY0.999$9.99
08-11 01:32Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 11?BUY0.999$9.99
08-11 01:32Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 11?BUY0.999$9.99
08-11 01:02Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 11?BUY0.999$9.99
08-11 01:00Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 11?BUY0.999$9.99
08-11 00:32Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on August 11?BUY0.999$7.88
08-10 10:24Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 10?BUY0.999$9.99
08-10 09:24Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 10?BUY0.999$9.99