PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

CAH4EYC

0xafd20820b7a8336d686c21896515ee2c73adceb3

Realised P&L
$-150.23
Volume
$7.4k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$12.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · Yes0.3600.095$4.75−$13.25
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · Yes0.7860.165$4.20−$15.80
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? · Yes0.1500.037$1.91−$5.85
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.1590.007$1.31−$28.38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2120.000$0.00−$10.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1770.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00−$4.00
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage · TheMongolz0.6100.000$0.00−$9.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? · No0.4200.000$0.00−$9.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET · Down0.2300.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit? · Yes0.1490.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Down0.1310.000$0.00−$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET · Down0.2300.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 18:40Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?BUY0.3041749392$15.00
08-03 18:39Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSELL0.71$6.76
08-03 18:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.4199999622$4.00
08-03 18:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSELL0.68$13.87
08-03 18:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.4899999814$10.00
07-29 09:45Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2119999847$10.00
07-29 09:43Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETBUY0.2299999603$4.00
07-15 08:30England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5BUY0.3924999921$22.00
07-15 08:29Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.194$33.45
06-13 00:24Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETBUY0.2299999603$4.00
06-09 20:16Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETSELL0.3$2.50
06-09 20:15Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETSELL0.43$3.24
06-09 20:12Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.5299999947$4.00
06-09 20:12Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.4799999568$4.00
06-09 20:11Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETSELL0.39$4.59