noise126trader
0xafb1cd803291e1ca69642ace32c2dddb10e10329
- Realised P&L
- $792.15
- Volume
- $349.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,741
- Open portfolio
- $7.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,741
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.309US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.471Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
- +$1.0kat 0.791US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
- +$875.25at 0.718Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$802.93at 0.438Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 22:51 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.512 | $916.10 |
| 09-13 22:50 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.1615334755 | $1.2k |
| 09-11 12:33 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.5029999989 | $200.00 |
| 09-11 12:09 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.5029999998 | $700.00 |
| 09-11 12:03 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.176 | $3.40 |
| 06-12 03:08 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.226 | $15.59 |
| 06-07 17:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | SELL | 0.3407815797 | $218.01 |
| 06-07 17:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | SELL | 0.2058394723 | $120.15 |
| 06-07 17:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | SELL | 0.519 | $280.20 |
| 06-05 18:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | BUY | 0.3460661403 | $100.00 |
| 06-05 18:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | BUY | 0.7488127966 | $100.00 |
| 06-05 18:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | BUY | 0.3392835676 | $100.00 |
| 06-05 18:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | BUY | 0.5189740495 | $100.00 |
| 06-05 15:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | BUY | 0.4473840407 | $200.00 |
| 06-05 15:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | BUY | 0.6669999999 | $100.00 |