PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xafa910bbd3230f2b03dd446d58108a5ecb261756

Realised P&L
$-325.93
Volume
$27.1k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$163.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2500.165$77.08$39.71
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0850.105$24.70+$4.70
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1590.162$20.31+$0.31
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1700.150$17.65$2.35
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2090.040$7.57$32.43
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1840.065$7.06$12.94
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1650.029$6.92$33.08
Databricks IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3770.037$1.99$18.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 06:05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.25$116.79
07-25 13:17Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?SELL0.6280898481$142.61
03-25 21:11Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.1499999971$40.91
03-25 21:105kt meteor strike in 2026?SELL0.5968822638$35.44
03-25 21:10Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.1499999931$17.51
03-16 14:04Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.0351808303$20.00
03-16 14:04Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?BUY0.5429999982$43.71
03-16 07:02Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.2399999918$20.00
03-04 20:55Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.5599999969$50.00
03-04 20:54Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.39$39.00
02-26 13:46Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.16$20.00
02-20 13:36Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?SELL0.004$20.00
02-18 21:52Databricks IPO before 2027?BUY0.3773584906$20.00
02-18 21:50Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?BUY0.1840550168$20.00
02-18 21:45SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?BUY0.8699999997$78.00