0xaf7FC9CC6d53A5f8161E2070444Ae362B26146eB-1770914477456
0xaf7fc9cc6d53a5f8161e2070444ae362b26146eb
- Realised P&L
- $-80.43
- Volume
- $29.8k
- Markets traded
- 377
- Open portfolio
- $13.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded377
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$234.06at 0.043Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$37.87at 0.527Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$36.76at 0.100Will the United States win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$12.44at 0.180Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$8.32at 0.272Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 20:30 | Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.0450270736 | $10.55 |
| 09-14 20:28 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.B. Pritzker by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0414475044 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 20:28 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 20:21 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.194 | $2.93 |
| 09-14 20:20 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.023 | $1.91 |
| 09-14 20:20 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.12 | $8.67 |
| 09-11 03:34 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1399999992 | $11.00 |
| 09-11 03:34 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.162 | $10.58 |
| 09-11 03:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.09 |
| 08-20 23:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 22:39 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.09 |
| 08-19 01:29 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.05 |
| 08-19 00:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 00:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 00:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | SELL | 0.54 | $1.93 |