Kvaerkeman
0xaf4bc132fc098daa42beec6c47454d751da6d653
- Realised P&L
- $-56.22
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $886.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$186.28at 0.586Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$99.07at 0.260Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?
- +$45.18at 0.180FC Nordsjælland vs. Vejle BK: O/U 4.5
- +$42.90at 0.571Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
- +$25.06at 0.860Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 09:15 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | SELL | 0.6134223602 | $7.90 |
| 10-09 09:15 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | SELL | 0.625 | $58.72 |
| 10-09 07:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $36.00 |
| 10-09 07:13 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | SELL | 0.788 | $16.55 |
| 10-06 20:46 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $103.55 |
| 10-06 20:46 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.95 |
| 10-06 20:45 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | BUY | 0.92 | $11.50 |
| 10-06 17:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.17 | $34.00 |
| 10-06 17:29 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.941 | $38.58 |
| 10-06 17:29 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.934 | $65.38 |
| 10-06 17:19 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $116.40 |
| 10-06 11:04 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $351.61 |
| 10-06 05:34 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.972 | $56.86 |
| 10-06 05:34 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.971 | $30.20 |
| 10-06 05:34 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.969 | $4.84 |