PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Rast

0xaf33638521d56c67896e827716926199c3b21e17

Realised P&L
$-528.94
Volume
$27.1k
Markets traded
248
Open portfolio
$32.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded248
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? · No0.5100.635$11.18+$2.20
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.205$10.25+$0.25
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? · Yes0.0700.035$3.50$3.50
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.5700.095$3.33$16.63
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1000.021$2.15$7.85
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0800.021$1.23$3.57
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1300.019$1.14$6.66
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.6200.000$0.00$18.60
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.6500.000$0.00$13.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 18:06Will Angel City FC vs. Racing Louisville FC end in a draw?BUY0.2199999593$4.00
07-26 06:17Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?SELL0.999$19.98
07-25 08:58Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?SELL0.61$18.30
07-25 08:56Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?BUY0.19$3.80
07-25 08:55Will CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?BUY0.19$3.80
07-25 08:55Will CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?BUY0.21$4.20
07-24 11:18Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?SELL0.49$9.80
07-24 11:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.62$18.60
07-24 11:12Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.08$4.80
07-23 19:41Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?SELL0.011$0.34
07-21 14:13Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?SELL0.26$7.54
07-21 13:27Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?SELL0.43$14.19
07-21 13:19Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?SELL0.54$16.74
07-21 13:19Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?SELL0.488$11.22
07-21 12:34Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.38$4.94