Mr.Akhmetov
0xaf1e082316d285d8e1f284df26729f75398eb602
- Realised P&L
- $7.85
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $818.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.550 | 0.785 | $464.10 | +$139.02 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.594 | 0.765 | $167.28 | +$37.38 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 15, 2026? · No | 0.448 | 0.970 | $99.48 | +$53.48 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No | 0.637 | 0.860 | $61.85 | +$16.00 |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · Yes | 0.509 | 0.590 | $24.35 | +$3.35 |
| Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30? · No | 0.450 | 0.018 | $0.41 | −$9.59 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.615 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$76.70 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.18at 0.567Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
- +$16.85at 0.657Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
- +$11.81at 0.527Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
- +$1.34at 0.670Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
- +$1.26at 0.617Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 08:30 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | SELL | 0.65 | $7.46 |
| 09-11 11:43 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4483050832 | $46.00 |
| 09-11 11:37 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $45.65 |
| 08-31 15:02 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.6099999765 | $7.00 |
| 08-31 14:55 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 08-31 14:51 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $17.41 |
| 08-15 07:02 | Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999003 | $1.30 |
| 08-14 16:19 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 04:31 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $2.39 |
| 07-21 16:32 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $30.00 |
| 07-21 16:30 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5699999956 | $29.90 |
| 07-21 16:28 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.33 | $29.12 |
| 07-21 16:27 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.339999993 | $30.00 |
| 07-21 16:24 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999929 | $20.00 |
| 07-21 16:20 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | BUY | 0.5062034733 | $20.00 |