PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BettingBoi

0xaee7916eeba30a2bed2b4291c8147555302205e9

Realised P&L
$3.9k
Volume
$594.0k
Markets traded
363
Open portfolio
$13.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded363
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.512$4.1k+$100.00
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.487$3.9k$100.00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9600.972$2.0k+$22.50
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · No0.8650.895$1.3k+$45.50
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? · No0.7560.935$346.97+$66.36
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No0.8260.885$244.26+$16.33
Will the Buffalo Sabres be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes0.0250.022$176.51$21.80
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.8820.948$151.60+$10.48
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.7400.675$148.50$14.30
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes0.0600.065$97.21+$7.48
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2400.295$87.97+$16.50
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0280.033$65.00+$9.00
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.2390.295$58.17+$10.96
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1100.155$47.10+$13.67
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.2050.105$42.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 19:20Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.966$4.83
07-18 02:53Will the Buffalo Sabres be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?BUY0.025$168.54
07-08 10:53Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.0349149991$34.91
07-08 10:36Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.58$715.72
07-06 07:21Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.52$351.52
07-06 07:04Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.331$91.36
07-05 21:51Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.82$73.80
07-05 04:09Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.78$983.58
07-04 05:30Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.48$704.64
07-03 08:03Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.35$23.82
06-29 13:56Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.0259507389$5.27
06-29 06:19Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?BUY0.07$42.00
06-29 06:19Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?BUY0.07$45.31
06-29 06:19Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?BUY0.069$6.61
06-29 05:53Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.41$90.20