ihor-ihor
0xaed4f5205b67e2e0a9d93aa5b9f3be42be617f61
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $467.2k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $367.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.293 | 0.115 | $366.48 | −$568.57 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.065 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.045 | $0.20 | −$0.80 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.006 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.42 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$859.20at 0.420Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$422.14at 0.305Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$44.83at 0.031Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.05at 0.145Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.82at 0.190Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 05:11 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 08-13 05:10 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $10.20 |
| 07-25 06:57 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $34.65 |
| 07-24 21:09 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $29.70 |
| 07-17 06:41 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $20.90 |
| 07-13 14:03 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $28.50 |
| 07-08 13:27 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $22.00 |
| 07-06 06:23 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? | BUY | 0.0599999919 | $6.80 |
| 07-05 16:41 | Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0836588206 | $6.68 |
| 07-02 05:38 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? | BUY | 0.0599999993 | $79.00 |
| 07-02 05:33 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1944845285 | $78.82 |
| 07-01 10:33 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999944 | $25.00 |
| 07-01 10:33 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 07-01 10:27 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999968 | $41.00 |
| 07-01 10:24 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |