PolyBot

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Traders

ihor-ihor

0xaed4f5205b67e2e0a9d93aa5b9f3be42be617f61

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$467.5k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$255.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2930.075$236.01−$687.31
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.0780.055$17.66−$7.40
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? · Yes0.0440.045$1.02+$0.02
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.033$0.55−$0.45
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.029$0.41−$0.59
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? · Yes0.2300.065$0.28−$0.72
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.001$0.00−$1.00
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$4.42
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$10.00
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$0.21
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 07:57Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.09$3.60
10-26 08:49Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.06$24.04
10-24 17:43Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026?SELL0.045$0.90
10-24 17:43US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by December 31, 2026?SELL0.04$0.98
10-24 17:37Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0384438095$20.18
10-18 07:15Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.06$5.34
10-16 15:58Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?SELL0.16$5.34
10-16 15:39Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?SELL0.16$0.53
10-16 15:28Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?SELL0.1589693412$19.50
10-15 19:39Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.16$25.00
10-14 16:27Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-13 16:37Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
10-13 05:44U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0437895072$11.68
10-11 14:18Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.02$1.00
10-10 16:55Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.08$50.00