PolyBot

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Traders

ohdear

0xaeab2847fd1ceacd903a2d0ae760290ec0959851

Realised P&L
$-4.83
Volume
$443.66
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$9.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.0910.388$4.26+$3.26
Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.1000.155$1.55+$0.55
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0910.097$1.06+$0.06
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.4200.350$0.83−$0.17
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7020.569$0.81−$0.19
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2600.195$0.75−$0.25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6500.145$0.22−$0.78
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 26? · Yes0.4360.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%? · Yes0.1630.000$0.00−$1.00
Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 22? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 20? · No0.6600.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 22? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29? · No0.6300.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 02:58Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 5?BUY0.68$5.23
10-02 05:09Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 3?BUY0.7799999766$4.00
09-30 04:29Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 30?BUY0.1809523741$1.00
09-30 04:29Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 30?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
09-28 10:06Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29?BUY0.6299999685$6.00
09-25 07:45Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 26?BUY0.435643554$5.00
09-22 05:11Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 23?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-22 05:11Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 22?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-22 05:04Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 22?BUY0.109999989$1.00
09-22 05:04Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 22?BUY0.0234611343$1.00
09-18 09:34Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-18 09:34Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
09-18 09:32Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 20?BUY0.659999934$3.00
09-18 09:32Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
08-19 15:26Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 19?SELL0.999$25.80