ohdear
0xaeab2847fd1ceacd903a2d0ae760290ec0959851
- Realised P&L
- $-4.83
- Volume
- $443.66
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $9.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.11at 0.646Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 19?
- +$5.18at 0.276Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%?
- +$2.54at 0.837Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 18?
- +$2.38at 0.691Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 5?
- +$2.37at 0.412Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.68 | $5.23 |
| 10-02 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.7799999766 | $4.00 |
| 09-30 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.1809523741 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $6.00 |
| 09-25 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.435643554 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.0234611343 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 09:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 09:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.659999934 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.80 |