PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Mandatory-Field

0xae9db5885d867155367fff6c909e7d67a9af4378

Realised P&L
$-6.75
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$10.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0480.124$3.73+$2.29
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.3530.045$1.68−$11.47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1650.122$1.23−$0.42
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0940.100$1.09+$0.06
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.035$1.01−$3.99
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? · Yes0.1400.065$0.78−$0.90
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.3200.055$0.55−$2.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 01:51Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.008$0.80
04-27 01:49Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
04-13 01:18Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.989$4.95
04-09 20:50Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.71$3.55
04-09 20:46Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.094$1.03
04-04 02:26US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.83$4.15
04-04 02:25US forces enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.89$0.51
04-01 12:06Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.26$2.11
04-01 12:03Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.23$2.30
04-01 12:03Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.31$3.10
04-01 12:02US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.57$2.85
03-28 15:19US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?SELL0.24$2.40
03-28 15:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.26$2.60
03-28 04:16Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?SELL0.8$4.00
03-23 15:51US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.32$3.20