TheNobody1322
0xae9d587c1588af8d8a20e0f3ca5df6d2359ff647
- Realised P&L
- $-297.71
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $248.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.44at 0.341SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
- +$5.75at 0.007Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?
- +$4.00at 0.130Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$3.00at 0.070Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
- +$-2.00at 0.002US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-18 18:04 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 05-15 06:26 | XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 05-14 17:35 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.6711083333 | $201.33 |
| 05-14 17:20 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $56.70 |
| 04-18 17:45 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $25.66 |
| 04-18 17:44 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 04-18 16:03 | SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $27.29 |
| 04-18 16:02 | SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $10.06 |
| 04-17 14:28 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 04-17 13:27 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 06:30 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 04-15 17:49 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 04-11 13:18 | SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.25 |
| 04-11 13:17 | SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 04-11 13:15 | SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5117230769 | $33.26 |