beymen
0xae950c97944ae1ca3a78d9b89c30a2dc2cc966ff
- Realised P&L
- $4.47
- Volume
- $404.20
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $130.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.011 | $113.00 | −$4.91 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.095 | $17.48 | −$11.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.58at 0.873Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?
- +$0.43at 0.902Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 31?
- +$0.31at 0.908Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 30?
- +$0.28at 0.935Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3?
- +$0.25at 0.941Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-05 10:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 6? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $4.10 |
| 04-05 10:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.98 |
| 04-05 10:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 6? | BUY | 0.9879999974 | $2.99 |
| 04-05 10:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 6? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.00 |
| 04-05 10:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 04-05 10:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 5? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $4.98 |
| 04-05 10:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5? | BUY | 0.997999808 | $5.00 |
| 04-03 08:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 4? | BUY | 0.9959998867 | $4.08 |
| 04-03 08:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 4? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.59 |
| 04-03 08:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 4? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.00 |
| 04-03 08:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 4? | BUY | 0.997999758 | $4.00 |
| 04-03 08:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 3? | BUY | 0.9959998137 | $4.00 |
| 04-03 08:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3? | BUY | 0.9299998093 | $3.96 |
| 04-03 08:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 3? | BUY | 0.9949998744 | $4.00 |
| 03-31 08:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 2? | BUY | 0.9649999987 | $3.73 |