0xae50dab2a5b91245d66179bb6f59128946562b4d
0xae50dab2a5b91245d66179bb6f59128946562b4d
- Realised P&L
- $0.12
- Volume
- $185.58
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $2.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.280 | 0.265 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.660 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.055 | $0.20 | −$1.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.93at 0.311Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$2.58at 0.339S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 2?
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.50at 0.340US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$2.36at 0.359Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $360 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:52 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:49 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:17 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 2? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:31 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:59 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 19:07 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:09 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 02:07 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 05:24 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:24 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:23 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:05 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:54 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |