Kitahara
0xae4b9e625d16ffef4a7759f3a1c77341c159fd5b
- Realised P&L
- $-48.31
- Volume
- $68.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,607
- Open portfolio
- $174.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,607
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.28at 0.832Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 8?
- +$15.00at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10?
- +$10.00at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 9?
- +$10.00at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 8?
- +$10.00at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 14:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.998999991 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 15:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.9939999992 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 14:28 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.7299999007 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 13:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 13:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 13:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.60 |
| 09-16 15:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.9989999511 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 14:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 07:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 01:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 09-14 07:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 06:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9489999973 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 03:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 03:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.4969999591 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 02:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |