PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Kitahara

0xae4b9e625d16ffef4a7759f3a1c77341c159fd5b

Realised P&L
$-48.31
Volume
$68.1k
Markets traded
1,607
Open portfolio
$174.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,607
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9600.970$48.48+$0.47
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9690.957$47.85−$0.60
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? · No0.9850.998$45.90+$0.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? · No0.9960.999$9.98+$0.03
Will Solana dip to $60 in September? · No0.9920.997$9.97+$0.05
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? · No0.9620.927$5.57−$0.21
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 28? · No0.9300.515$5.15−$4.15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8290.965$1.16+$0.16
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winner · Nongshim Esports Academy0.9900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET · Up0.9490.000$0.00−$5.00
Ohio State vs. Texas · Ohio State0.9000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 11? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00−$9.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 14:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24?BUY0.998999991$100.00
09-21 15:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 21?BUY0.9939999992$5.00
09-21 14:28Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?BUY0.7299999007$5.00
09-21 13:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?BUY0.999$5.00
09-21 13:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?BUY0.999$5.00
09-18 13:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?BUY0.04$1.60
09-16 15:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 16?BUY0.9989999511$20.00
09-16 14:00Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 16?BUY0.999$50.00
09-15 07:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3AM ETBUY0.999$5.00
09-15 01:45Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 14?BUY0.999$50.00
09-14 07:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3AM ETBUY0.997$5.00
09-14 06:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETBUY0.9489999973$5.00
09-14 03:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETBUY0.99$5.00
09-14 03:14Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 7-13?BUY0.4969999591$5.00
09-14 02:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.98$5.00