PolyBot

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Traders

rosemaryli8662

0xae427dd1356ab0933a7e91f87e506041f9f53c72

Realised P&L
$-192.08
Volume
$17.6k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$309.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · No0.5240.500$200.00$9.50
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No0.5100.500$50.00$1.00
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0950.065$37.09$17.63
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0850.046$18.60$15.20
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? · Yes0.0650.053$3.62$0.79
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.1600.000$0.00$16.00
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? · No0.0120.000$0.00$20.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026? · No0.1750.000$0.00$15.31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$7.13
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00$11.96
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$6.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026? · No0.1080.000$0.00$3.26
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026? · No0.1550.000$0.00$6.61
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00$76.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 03:47Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.039$7.80
07-25 03:45China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.069$6.90
06-05 19:37China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.09$6.75
04-22 15:44US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?BUY0.23$11.50
04-22 14:51US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?SELL0.025$1.50
04-22 14:39US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?BUY0.14$6.30
04-22 14:38US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?BUY0.13$0.66
04-22 14:34US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?SELL0.28$14.00
04-22 13:54US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?BUY0.31$15.50
04-22 13:27Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?SELL0.16$4.06
04-22 13:25US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?BUY0.049$4.90
04-22 01:39Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?SELL0.12$2.99
04-21 20:51US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?BUY0.03$0.93
04-21 20:29US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.75$15.54
04-21 20:20US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?BUY0.84$84.00