rosemaryli8662
0xae427dd1356ab0933a7e91f87e506041f9f53c72
- Realised P&L
- $-192.08
- Volume
- $17.6k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $309.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.00at 0.530Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$70.31at 0.832Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?
- +$42.50at 0.150Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?
- +$14.70at 0.866US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
- +$4.20at 0.965Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 03:47 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $7.80 |
| 07-25 03:45 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.069 | $6.90 |
| 06-05 19:37 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $6.75 |
| 04-22 15:44 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 04-22 14:51 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $1.50 |
| 04-22 14:39 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $6.30 |
| 04-22 14:38 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.66 |
| 04-22 14:34 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 04-22 13:54 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 04-22 13:27 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $4.06 |
| 04-22 13:25 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.049 | $4.90 |
| 04-22 01:39 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.99 |
| 04-21 20:51 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.93 |
| 04-21 20:29 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.54 |
| 04-21 20:20 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |