PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sbsn

0xae316d9a40697d2e64dd531bc70059991b4e3de9

Realised P&L
$-5.07
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$4.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration96.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes0.0050.005$1.00+$0.00
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.0900.085$0.94−$0.06
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0350.029$0.83−$0.17
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0370.026$0.72−$0.28
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · Yes0.1400.085$0.61−$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 3? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 4? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 4? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 10:14Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-03 17:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.04$1.00
10-03 17:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.97$1.00
10-03 15:11Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
10-03 14:49Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.0369999987$1.00
10-03 14:47Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0349999995$1.00
10-03 14:37Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?BUY0.005$1.00
10-03 14:35Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
10-03 14:21Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 4?BUY0.0045411788$1.00
10-03 11:51Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3?SELL0.302$1.90
10-03 10:48Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 4?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-03 10:39Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3?BUY0.1589999792$1.00
10-03 10:27Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 3?BUY0.1189999907$1.00
10-03 10:07Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?SELL0.001$0.17
10-03 09:48Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?BUY0.0022988506$1.00