sbsn
0xae316d9a40697d2e64dd531bc70059991b4e3de9
- Realised P&L
- $-5.07
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $4.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.005 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.085 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.029 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.026 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.085 | $0.61 | −$0.39 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.79at 0.166Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3?
- +$0.03at 0.972Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
- +$-0.62at 0.002Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?
- +$-1.07at 0.043Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 10:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 17:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 17:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 15:11 | Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 14:49 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.0369999987 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 14:47 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0349999995 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 14:37 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 14:35 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.0045411788 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.302 | $1.90 |
| 10-03 10:48 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 10:39 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.1589999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 10:27 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.1189999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 10:07 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.17 |
| 10-03 09:48 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.0022988506 | $1.00 |